Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.068181 0.081020 0.095436 0.112794 0.133105 0.156092 0.184053
2025-03-09 0.047926 0.064205 0.084592 0.111888 0.147357 0.191756 0.251401
2025-03-16 0.036028 0.053045 0.076255 0.109990 0.157491 0.221661 0.314530
2025-03-23 0.029629 0.047173 0.072846 0.112749 0.172705 0.258815 0.391052
2025-03-30 0.024168 0.041251 0.067854 0.111713 0.181458 0.287078 0.457773
2025-04-06 0.019750 0.035930 0.062596 0.108971 0.186574 0.309801 0.518204
2025-04-13 0.016174 0.031230 0.057391 0.105192 0.189025 0.328045 0.573085
2025-04-20 0.014221 0.028979 0.055869 0.107223 0.201130 0.362949 0.658765
2025-04-27 0.012452 0.026709 0.053887 0.108009 0.210940 0.394801 0.742537
2025-05-04 0.010946 0.024659 0.051948 0.108484 0.220066 0.426219 0.828714
2025-05-11 0.009792 0.023110 0.050707 0.110053 0.231310 0.462497 0.927400
2025-05-18 0.009015 0.022223 0.050646 0.113924 0.247430 0.509459 1.050894
2025-05-25 0.007680 0.019858 0.047175 0.110327 0.248289 0.527687 1.122156
2025-06-01 0.006811 0.018425 0.045511 0.110387 0.256800 0.562091 1.229528
2025-06-08 0.005949 0.016836 0.043228 0.108696 0.261260 0.588622 1.323600
2025-06-15 0.005471 0.016131 0.042905 0.111460 0.275912 0.638002 1.470579
2025-06-22 0.004846 0.014910 0.041117 0.110443 0.281735 0.668910 1.580996
2025-06-29 0.004225 0.013565 0.038791 0.107731 0.283165 0.690176 1.672282
2025-07-06 0.003644 0.012216 0.036222 0.103993 0.281572 0.704326 1.748865
2025-07-13 0.003365 0.011714 0.035862 0.106003 0.294556 0.753651 1.911600
2025-07-20 0.003069 0.011101 0.035090 0.106780 0.304473 0.796695 2.063805
2025-07-27 0.002796 0.010501 0.034253 0.107250 0.313639 0.838849 2.218050
2025-08-03 0.002583 0.010059 0.033816 0.108802 0.325910 0.889957 2.399309